Evaluación de los retrasos en actividades de construcción utilizando Redes Bayesianas: Caso de estudio
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18041/1900-3803/entramado.2.8006Palabras clave:
Redes bayesianas, Factores de retraso, Evaluación Bayesiana de retrasos.Resumen
Los retrasos en proyectos de construcción son atribuidos a la concurrencia de múltiples factores que afectan el buen desarrollo del proyecto, y mitigarlos, constituye uno de los mayores desafíos que afronta la industria, ya que requiere tener en cuenta la incidencia integrada de ellos. El objetivo de este estudio fue evaluar la influencia de un grupo de factores sobre la duración de actividades de construcción, empleando la técnica de redes bayesianas. Siguiendo la metodología de investigación basada en el diseño, se identificaron los principales factores de retraso que afectan las actividades de construcción, se modelaron las relaciones causa y efecto, para estimar su influencia en las duraciones de actividades de cimentación de un proyecto de construcción. Los resultados de esta investigación muestran como la aplicación de una red bayesiana se puede emplear como apoyo a los profesionales de obra para gestionar las actividades de construcción y tomar decisiones respecto al desarrollo del proyecto, considerando la incertidumbre y los factores que influyen en el desarrollo de la obra.
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