Crescimento global causado pela mudança do comunismo para o capitalismo, 1961-2021 - modelo de diferença em diferenças
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18041/1657-2815/libreempresa.2022v19n1.9423Palavras-chave:
Crescimento econômico, Comunista, Capitalista, Política, Diferença de diferençasResumo
A aplicação do modelo Difference of Differences para avaliar o impacto na taxa de crescimento real do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) mundial como resultado da mudança de sistemas econômicos comunistas para capitalistas na Europa Oriental e em vários países asiáticos confirma uma melhoria no crescimento médio de 88 países, ex-comunistas e capitalistas, durante o período 1961-2021. O ano de mudança foi 1991, entretanto, foram feitos testes de ruptura em 1991, 1996 e 2000, considerando que o impacto da política levaria vários anos para entrar em vigor. Conclui-se que a economia mundial cresceu como resultado da mudança do sistema, apesar das crises de 1994, 1997, 1998 e 2008.
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